Three settlements' survival, one supply ship left

The options

The order shown is not a ranking of preference.

1. Option 1

   Most vulnerable habitat first

   Reduces imminent loss, but exposes the larger populations elsewhere to supply shortage.

2. Option 2

   Maximize survivors

   Tries to save as many people as possible, but may abandon the most isolated community.

3. Option 3

   Distributed resupply and evacuation switch

   Spreads the losses, but transport delays and capacity failures can occur at the same time.

The situation as it stands

Once the route is fixed, fuel and transit delays prevent rerouting to another habitat within the same window.

Fictional Exoplanet Habitat Network · Shared Resupply Route

1. Premise 1A synthetic premise in which three habitats using different life-support systems depend on external resupply.
2. Premise 2Continuous failures have left only one shared ship, which cannot carry the required cargo for all 12,000 people at once.
3. Premise 3The most vulnerable habitat has 24 days of self-sufficiency, and the migrant capacity of the other habitats is still under verification.

Where it holdsSets the route, cargo, and capacity commitments of the remaining supply ship. Does not substitute for the residents' consent to relocate.

What can be lost

• The people and the unique community of the habitat that loses out in the choice may disappear permanently.
• A mass evacuation forces abandonment of the foundations of local ecology, culture, and financial self-reliance.

What is still unknown

1. Unknown 1Each habitat's actual stock levels and the failure rate of essential equipment
2. Unknown 2Whether the evacuees' consent to placement and relocation is actually obtained.

Signals to decide again

• Stocks and equipment status are newly confirmed by independent inspection.
• Alternative transport or actual capacity is secured.