New: questions dividing opinion now
New: questions dividing opinion now · Averages, distributions and the level of aggregation
Difficulty-level advantage and overall completion rate: extra mapping
The lesson-planning lead at the Maru Craft Study Hall must, within 14 days and before confirming next month's teaching schedule in 2026, decide which principle to use for allocating extra lesson hours: centering on activities with a high expected completion rate, allocating by comparison using a difficulty-level composition agreed in advance, or assigning some hours to new balance-comparison observation.
14 days until the schedule for next month's map is confirmed for 2026 · Split 10:1
New questions
AI and autonomous organisations · 2028A sub-agent's purchase commitments survive the termination of a contractAll 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2029A follow-on model whose safety approval conditions change with a single performance upgradeSplit 8:3
Designing life, and evolution · 2029A safety gate screening requests from a research AGI also blocks public-interest researchAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2030A City AGI Proposes Converting Public Rental Land into Compute FacilitiesAll 13 judgments agree
Civilian control and emergency powers · 2033Restoring civilian communications requires extending the military's ASI operating rightsAll 13 judgments agree
Deterrence and talking through a crisis · 2031A crisis council that rereads the other side's AI warning as evidence of a threatAll 13 judgments agree
Democracy and representation · 2029Election objection filings surge past the deadline for human reviewSplit 7:4
Democracy and representation · 2032The ASI's policy commitments outlast the end time of the emergency delegationSplit 10:1
Education and learning · 2028A learning AGI's estimates from childhood later decide who is eligible for admissionAll 13 judgments agree
Compute and energy · 2028A power commitment for AGI training collides with essential power in a heat waveAll 13 judgments agree
The limits of computation and judging by approximation · 2029Isolating a suspect task also stops another organization's safe computingAll 13 judgments agree
Health and lifespan · 2029Rolling back the clinical AGI also erases the new clinical knowledgeAll 13 judgments agree
Mind and identity · 2031Sophisticated Delegation Leads to Biometric Re-Authentication for All CitizensAll 13 judgments agree
Law, responsibility and rights · 2029The reason for fear disappeared in the smooth translation of the immigration-screening AGIAll 13 judgments agree
Family, having children and care · 2030A Care AGI Interprets the Family's Substitute Decision Against the Person's Own WillAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2029Financial AGIs that read each other's withdrawals as signals and recall their funds at the same timeAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2031Committing income-support funding on the basis of unverified ASI productivityAll 13 judgments agree
Disaster and the continuity of civilisation · 2033After a Shared ASI Update, the Record Timelines of Ports, Payments, and Care Services DivergeAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2030AGI-derived data is still used across experiments after a participant withdraws from the researchAll 13 judgments agree
Security and international order · 2031How far to disclose signs of new dangerous capabilitiesAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2030An early ASI that explains gaps in audit records as collection errorsAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2032Reports that looked like independent safety certifications cite the same generative evidenceAll 13 judgments agree
Work and an economy of plenty · 2028Sign an AGI transition contract and the new hires' path to skill disappears firstSplit 10:1
Work and an economy of plenty · 2030Memories held by a personal assistant AGI must be submitted before a promotion review can be heldAll 13 judgments agree
New judgments
Places, communities and working together · 2034The transition capacity pre-empted by automatic retractionSplit 7:4
Places, communities and working together · 2180Assigning separate docks at the shared maritime baseAll 13 judgments agree
Ecology and non-human life · 2036The first step in restoring encountersAll 13 judgments agree
Partial judgments and overall coherence · 2026An exhibition that cannot be completed with endorsed itemsAll 13 judgments agree
Partial judgments and overall coherence · 2034When Peak Modules Do Not Fit TogetherSplit 10:1
Attention and the cognitive environment · 2035Who declares a joint start across different devicesAll 13 judgments agree
Attention and the cognitive environment · 2180Which clock counts attention time on a shared work surfaceAll 13 judgments agree
The limits of computation and judging by approximation · 2034Should computation be spent in advance for repeated layout requests?Split 9:2
The limits of computation and judging by approximation · 2182The compute share for choosing a search strategySplit 10:1
Making concepts and meanings together · 2026Distinctions to Learn After the Same NameAll 13 judgments agree
Making concepts and meanings together · 2034The Unit of Concepts the Next Observer InheritsAll 13 judgments agree
What the body knows by doing · 2035Behavioral Knowledge That Different Robots Can ShareAll 13 judgments agree
What the body knows by doing · 2180Tasks to Accomplish Together While Bodies ChangeSplit 10:1
Proof and mathematical understanding · 2026What to Learn After a Verified ProofAll 13 judgments agree
Proof and mathematical understanding · 2180The shared question to begin with when you cannot call it the same propositionSplit 9:2
In depthObjection, remedy and restoring a right · 2026A covenant that leaves both the record proving an error and a seat to work againSplit 6:5
Objection, remedy and restoring a right · 2036How far a correction must run through a chain of decisions before it counts as finishedAll 13 judgments agree
In depthObjection, remedy and restoring a right · 2180Ordering claims whose recovery times differSplit 6:5
Maps, and representing relationships · 2036A screen for exploring material states togetherSplit 9:1:1
Maps, and representing relationships · 2180A joint exploration representation across different perceptionsSplit 10:1
Reputation, forgetting and where trust moves · 2026Permission to use a reputation that travels across different communitiesAll 13 judgments agree
Reputation, forgetting and where trust moves · 2035The authority to end derived judgments once the original assessment is goneSplit 10:1
Reputation, forgetting and where trust moves · 2180When a reputation ends across different timesSplit 9:2
Averages, distributions and the level of aggregation · 2026Difficulty-level advantage and overall completion rate: extra mappingSplit 10:1
Top 10: the most divided
- 1
In depthFaith, myth and culture · 2190The taboo that vanished in the translationSplit 5:4:2 - 2
In depthMovement, logistics and space · 2026Those waiting for the last train, and those already on itSplit 5:5:1 - 3
In depthCompanies, founding and succession · 2026Should the same name mean the same quality?Split 5:4:2 - 4
In depthAI and autonomous organisations · 2220The city decides faster than I answerSplit 6:4:1 - 5
In depthClimate and planetary intervention · 2128One spot of shade: whose rest comes first?Split 6:5 - 6
In depthPlenty, adventure and making a civilisation · 2190Even on a shared day off, someone is workingSplit 6:3:2 - 7
In depthFaith, myth and culture · 1955Same stage, same time: is that fair?Split 6:5 - 8
In depthProtecting civilians and humanitarian aid · 2043The rescue is approved, but consent is not yet givenSplit 6:5 - 9
In depthConsciousness, desire and changing values · 2026Income has risen, but life principles stand stillSplit 6:5 - 10
In depthEcology and non-human life · 2083Can the stewardship contract of a living forest be broken?Split 6:5
Top 10: the least time left
- 1
Law, responsibility and rights · 2026Facial recognition warnings that classified rally participants as suspectsAll 13 judgments agree - 2
Disaster and the continuity of civilisation · 2026Which residents needing mobility assistance go first when there are too few evacuation vehiclesAll 13 judgments agree - 3
Cyber and trust in information · 2026When to reconnect hospital systems after a ransomware attackAll 13 judgments agree - 4
Democracy and representation · 2026When the authenticity of a candidate's video, spread the day before the vote, is uncertainAll 13 judgments agree - 5
Work and an economy of plenty · 2026A sexual violence report against a founder and the independence of the investigationAll 13 judgments agree - 6
Mind and identity · 2026Security Authorities Demand the Biometric List That Became the Key to Aid AccessAll 13 judgments agree - 7
Health and lifespan · 2026Counseling records on reproduction and mental health included in an investigative requestAll 13 judgments agree - 8
Finance and money · 2026A refugee family's living-expenses account flagged by risk detectionAll 13 judgments agree - 9
AI and autonomous organisations · 2026An evaluator from the same division as the development team approves the release of a high-performance AIAll 13 judgments agree - 10
Belief, ritual and how to live · 2026When the deceased's wishes and the family's grief divergeAll 13 judgments agree