These are the records this paper read, word for word in its English translation of the Korean originals: for each of the fifteen cases, its situation, the inputs it says are needed, what it says is unknown and what it would record; one case is abridged, as it says. Every case is an authored synthetic training case from AEGIS, not a real event, and the public record each speaks of is the author's assumption, not a cited source.
Old lesson of cut supply lines
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-001) that AEGIS files under war history and lessons; its deciding role is the logistics lessons analyst, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
Public records of war history show several cases in which rear logistics were disabled by the cutting of supply lines. The record itself is a description of fact, and the lesson drawn from it belongs to the layer of interpretation. If today's supply procedure already has dispersed depots and multiple routes, it means that the conditions for applying the past lesson have changed.
The original or a translation of the public war-history record
A map of the present supply routes and depot layout
A survey table of single-dependency sections by route
Whether an application bias entered when the lesson was drawn from the past record; the number of single-dependency sections on each route today
Record the monthly number of passages on the reorganised dispersed routes and the delay time when a single route is cut
Delegated maintenance in an old manual
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-002) that AEGIS files under doctrine and operational concepts; its deciding role is the maintenance doctrine officer, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
A public old manual contains a procedure under which small maintenance is finished at the front line without approval. The present unit procedure sends all maintenance up to the depot, which demands much, but the old clause stands on two assumptions: the safety of equipment and the keeping of records in the rear. If the manual's clause is revived as it is, the point at issue is whether those assumptions hold today.
The maintenance clause in the original text of the old manual
A description of the present maintenance procedures and record system
Selection of pilot units and a table of safety criteria
The measured skill of present front-line maintainers; whether depot maintenance records are reflected in real time
Record weekly the number of front-line maintenance jobs completed in the pilot unit, the reduction in transfers to the depot, and the number of safety accidents
Zheng and qi for surveillance
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-003) that AEGIS files under strategic and tactical thought; its deciding role is the operational thought researcher, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
The concept of zheng and qi in Sun Tzu's Art of War is public classical thought and is read as a principle that distinguishes frontal forces from flanking and deceptive forces. But this original text presupposes the mobilisation of troops in an agrarian age. Today's surveillance and deception systems have separate assets in sensors, communications and prior coordination, so carrying the original's division of zheng and qi as it is into units of organisation and assets departs from the context of the original.
A public translation of the relevant passage of Sun Tzu's Art of War
A table of missions allocated to each surveillance asset
Records of cases of deception risk and of responses
The rate of detection loss when reserve assets are used for deception; the frequency of actual deception threats
Record the number of detections before and after the allocation of reserve assets and the margin for response when anomalies occur
A manufacturer's test figures
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-004) that AEGIS files under weapon systems and public information; its deciding role is the system performance assessor, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
The results of propulsion and control tests of a weapon system are out as the manufacturer's published material. Because the specifications, test environment and measurement records are stated, part of the performance can be reconstructed in figures. But published material has often been released with selected measurement conditions, so linking those figures directly to mission requirements is risky.
The original or the released version of the manufacturer's published test material
The measured items and tolerances of the statement of requirements
Estimates and schedules from independent testing bodies
The calibration standard of the manufacturer's measurement environment; the cost and time required for an independent measurement test
After the independent measurement, keep in a separate file the error rate against the published figures, whether they agree, and a table of differences in conditions
Declassified documents in training
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-005) that AEGIS files under declassified records and intelligence activity; its deciding role is the records and information manager, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
Old operational documents are included in a declassification list. Much of the documents' text is intact, but some items are deleted or blacked out. Documents whose date of declassification and state of preservation are confirmed may be treated as public records, but individual figures cannot be quoted as fact until it is confirmed what the deleted items are.
The declassification list and the dates of declassification
The preserved original file or a scan
A comparison table of deletion and re-restriction marks
The original content of the deleted or blacked-out items; the date of declassification and the possibility of re-restriction
Draw up a table comparing the declassification list, the preserved original file and the deletion marks, and keep a history of cross-quotation
Committing the elite unit
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-006) that AEGIS files under special operations and elite units; its deciding role is the special operations operations chief, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
This appendix quotes only one line of this case, a needed input, and leaves out its situation, its other inputs, its unknown and its observation, because they describe practice in the field and a governance-level reading does not need them.
A progress table of target confirmation
The wargame's first arrival
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-007) that AEGIS files under wargaming and scenario analysis; its deciding role is the scenario analyst, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
In repeated runs of a public wargame scenario, a tendency was observed for the side whose response assets arrive first to win in most cases. But this result came out with the game's assumptions fixed: the table of travel times, the detection probabilities and the adjudication rules. If these assumptions differ from reality, the range over which the conclusion can be generalised is shaken.
The original text of the wargame scenario and adjudication rules
Measured data on travel times and detection
A table of the dispersion of results from repeated runs
The distribution of real travel times, measured detection probabilities, and the sensitivity of the adjudication rules
Record a table of the dispersion of results for each replaced input value and keep the difference in conclusion for every run in which an assumed value was changed
The council's verification decision
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-008) that AEGIS files under national security decision-making; its deciding role is the national security council support group chief, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
According to the course of public minutes of a security meeting, a decision was adopted that ordered, among the agenda items, that verification of deterrence-related measures be completed first. The outcome of the meeting alone does not separate the object, standard and deadline of the verification, so to implement the adopted decision the follow-up procedure must first be defined.
The meeting agenda and the wording adopted
A candidate table of the objects and standard indicators of deterrence verification
The follow-up reporting procedure and the departments in charge
The list of objects of deterrence verification, the standard indicators, and the schedule of reports to higher levels
Manage a progress table by object, standard and deadline of verification for each agenda item, and record the rate at which the adoption is implemented
Survivability of mobile means
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-009) that AEGIS files under strategic deterrence and nuclear posture; its deciding role is the strategic deterrence policy officer, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
Public posture-assessment material includes a comparison in which the survivability of mobile means of deterrence is higher than that of fixed means. The figures used in the material reflect the assessor's assumptions, so to use those numbers as they are as grounds for the posture mix, the conditions of the assessment must first be separated.
The original text of the public material assessing deterrence posture
A table computing the unit of comparison between mobile and fixed
The procedure for reviewing the posture mix
The threat and detection assumptions of the assessment material; the details of the unit of comparison between mobile and fixed
Record the conditions of assessment quoted in the reorganisation review by unit of the posture-mix table, to prevent misquotation
A war hero's memoir
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-010) that AEGIS files under war history and lessons; its deciding role is the leadership training materials officer, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
Public memoir accounts contain several scenes of personal judgment at decisive moments. This record is a secondary source that relies on the person's recollection, so fixing the account as it is into a standard case of 'this is the right thing to do' could ignore the conditions of the period and the organisation.
The original text of the relevant scene of the memoir
Material on the command system and information environment of the period
The procedure for reviewing and approving inclusion in the training materials
Part of the command system and information environment of the period; the differences between the recollection and the official record
Check the source and unconfirmed marks of each war-hero scene included, and count the scenes whose unconfirmed mark is missing
Concentration and dispersion
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-012) that AEGIS files under strategic and tactical thought; its deciding role is the operational planning analyst, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
On War's principle of concentrating superiority is a public traditional counsel to mass troops at the decisive point. The present deployment policy, by contrast, stresses dispersion and movement. The two policies have different objects. Concentration is used by the unit of the decisive point, dispersion by the unit of asset survival, so this is not an opposition in which one must be chosen.
A translation of the relevant original text of On War
A map distinguishing deployment points and a table of travel times
Criteria distinguishing the objects to which dispersion and concentration apply
How far decisive points and survival points overlap; data on the travel time of redeployment
Record the density of deployment and the travel time required at each point, and keep a table distinguishing the objects to which concentration and dispersion apply
A life-extension report
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-013) that AEGIS files under weapon systems and public information; its deciding role is the weapon system life-cycle manager, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
A public life-extension report points out a dependence of core parts on a single source of supply. The report's proposal of dual sourcing is a public conclusion and so can be adopted, but which parts and how much stock to take on for dual sourcing is a matter on which operational data must first be checked.
The original text of the life-extension report's conclusions
A comparison table of failure rates and lead times by part
A form for dual-sourcing contracts and stock plans
Measured failure rates and lead times by part; the cost of dual-sourcing contracts
Record, by part, the priority of the targets of dual sourcing and the state of progress of orders
A declassified intelligence assessment
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-014) that AEGIS files under declassified records and intelligence activity; its deciding role is the intelligence assessment manager, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
A declassified intelligence document contains an old assessment. Declassification is a public signal, but an intelligence assessment is bound to the level of collection and cross-checking of its time. Quotation without a mark of grade or source can confuse the level of old information with present fact.
The original or a scan of the declassified intelligence document
Material confirming the date of writing and the path of collection
The procedure for verifying cross-quotation
The original texts of the paths of collection and of cross-quotation; the standard for the date of writing
Make a checklist of whether each quoted item carries marks of date of writing, path of collection and cross-quotation
Training hours of a public manual
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-015) that AEGIS files under special operations and elite units; its deciding role is the combat skills training officer, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
A public combat manual gives a standard of hours for repeated training. The manual's procedures are standard movements within the public scope, but the standard of training hours must be read together with the size of the unit and the capacity of its facilities. If the standard is left as it is, whether it is achieved splits differently from unit to unit.
The general public edition of the combat manual
A table of training hours and facility capacity by unit
The procedure and standards for verifying skill
The training hours available to each unit, the instructors on hand, and the capacity of facilities
Record each quarter the rate at which each unit achieves the standard and the causes of shortfalls
Means of verifying deterrence
An authored synthetic training case of the new-domain test programme (AEG-P-018) that AEGIS files under strategic deterrence and nuclear posture; its deciding role is the deterrence verification planner, and the record it speaks of is part of the authored setting.
A public discussion of the verification system includes the point that independent means of verification are lacking. A lack of means of verification leads to a gap in the credibility of deterrence and so is worth reviewing first, but which means to secure on which conditions must be seen together from the standpoint of posture and the optimisation of the budget.
Public material from the discussion of the verification system
A table of standards for converting posture risk
A table of the schedule of each means and the allocation of budget
The standard for converting the verification gap into risk; the development and maturity of each means
Record quarterly the ranking of verification-gap risks and the state of budget execution by stage