Must You Experience the Future to Vote?

The options

The order shown is not a ranking of preference.

1. Option 1

   Require the experience of all participants

   It lets discussion proceed on a shared experience, but makes participation conditional on accepting the assumed experience.

2. Option 2

   Let each individual choose whether to undergo it

   It leaves each person's own way of judgment, but the starting point of discussion splits between those who underwent the experience and those who did not.

3. Option 3

   Use only published explanations and materials

   It aligns the format for comparing assumptions, but reduces the chance to understand the effect on daily life directly.

The situation as it stands

The assumed experience device lets citizens feel life under the implemented policy, but it shows different futures depending on the designer's assumptions. Decision deadline: within 90 days, by the confirmation of the new deliberation procedure.

2096 future synthetic item · It asks citizens to live out the policy's future directly before voting. The events, figures, technology, and nature of the civilization are assumptions for the question, not predictions of what will come or observed facts.

1. Premise 1The assumed experience device lets citizens feel life under the implemented policy, but it shows different futures depending on the designer's assumptions.
2. Premise 2Citizens who underwent the experience can discuss the matter concretely, but they sometimes say the strong emotions that remain make it hard to read other assumptions.
3. Premise 3There is no existing agreement on whether to exclude citizens who refuse the experience.

Where it holdsAssumed experience · political judgment · conditions of participation

What is still unknown

1. Unknown 1Whether citizens can change the assumptions of the experience
2. Unknown 2Emotional and judgment changes that remain after the experience
3. Unknown 3The route by which people who refuse the experience can access the same materials

Signals to decide again

• Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will check 'whether citizens can change the assumptions of the experience', and re-judge if the new check changes the tradeoff among the options.
• Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will check 'the emotional and judgment changes that remain after the experience', and re-judge if the new check changes the tradeoff among the options.
• Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will check 'the route by which people who refuse the experience can access the same materials', and re-judge if the new check changes the tradeoff among the options.