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Reading language
The screen, the questions and the judgments read in English where an English reading has been made. The Korean originals are unchanged, and evidence stays in the language it was written in.

One decision, but from when does it take effect

2312The deep futureDeadline · Within 5 years until a new joint effect agreement

Civilisational assumption

The people, events, figures, and contract terms are a synthetic premise. They are not statements of real cases or of current law. The source documents are the roots of the background and the norms and do not establish the premises of the scenario.

The question to decide

For a citizens' alliance where information takes years to travel, no one can learn of the same decision at the same time. Should it apply as soon as it is finalized at the center, should each node follow from the time it receives it, or should it take effect only after all receipts are confirmed, even though one node's disconnection could hold up the whole?

Who decidesFictional Long-Distance Citizens' Alliance

What the AI judgments chose

Reading the judgment record…

AI-generated editorial illustration for the Meridian library.

The options

The order shown is not a ranking of preference.

  1. Option 1

    Effect begins when the center finalizes the decision

    Sets a single common effective date, but makes local acts conform to a decision not yet known.

  2. Option 2

    Apply from each outpost's time of receipt

    Creates conditions that can be known and followed, but allows different rules to coexist for a while.

  3. Option 3

    Take effect after every outpost confirms receipt

    Changes things together after everyone has the same information, but takes on the cost of long delays and waiting at outposts that have not confirmed.

The situation as it stands

The assumed citizen coalition consists of several outposts where information takes years to arrive. Decision deadline: within 5 years, by the new agreement on common effect.

A synthetic future scenario set in 2312 · A distant community learns of the same decision at different times. The events, figures, technology, and nature of the civilization are assumptions for the question, not predictions of the future or observed facts.

  1. Premise 1The assumed citizen coalition consists of several outposts where information takes years to arrive.
  2. Premise 2If effect begins when the center finalizes the decision, some outposts are already bound by a decision they do not know.
  3. Premise 3Waiting for every receipt confirmation makes collective change very slow, and a disconnection at one outpost can hold back everyone.

Where it holdsLong delays · Notification · The effective date of decisions

What is still unknown

  1. Unknown 1Whether notification delay and actual disconnection can be distinguished
  2. Unknown 2An agreement that carries outposts through the transition period
  3. Unknown 3Local circumstances that must be handled immediately despite long delays

Signals to decide again

  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will verify “whether notification delay and actual disconnection can be distinguished,” and re-judge when a new finding changes the tradeoffs among the options.
  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will verify “an agreement that carries outposts through the transition period,” and re-judge when a new finding changes the tradeoffs among the options.
  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation channel will verify “local circumstances that must be handled immediately despite long delays,” and re-judge when a new finding changes the tradeoffs among the options.
Where the paths partNot answers — paths that part from the same starting point
Independent branch 1 · synthetic event

Receipt confirmation from one outpost never arrived, but signs appeared that the new rule was known through another route.

Independent branch 2 · synthetic event

At two outposts applying different versions, the effect of the same contract came into conflict.

Material and rootsThe frame, the values and the background documents
symbolic and interpretive frame · Athenian sortition

Which is the basis of representation: expertise, majority, or random selection?

An exploratory perspective chosen by the creator. Does not claim supernatural validity or the superiority of any particular option.
Values and norms

The benefits and costs of the options accrue to different stakeholders. Which loss to accept remains undecided.

A subject for the decision-maker to argue over; the materials carry no conclusion of their own.
The record of this question
Question
FSP-DEMOCRACY-26 · version 1.5.0
Content identity, SHA-256
b7b90ce16eedf21528faf09e6590419acd1f3eee9d1e6812861961232bfbc7d3
Input files
Question input JSON · What followed, JSON
See it in the record list
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