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Reading language
The screen, the questions and the judgments read in English where an English reading has been made. The Korean originals are unchanged, and evidence stays in the language it was written in.

Hearing today about risks decades away

2091The far futureDeadline · Within 90 days before the new forecast notification agreement

A leap assumed

The people, events, figures, and contract terms are a synthetic premise. They are not statements of real cases or of current law. The source documents are the roots of the background and the norms and do not establish the premises of the scenario.

The question to decide

Even if health risks decades ahead can be predicted, what they mean for an individual is not sufficiently verified, and there are no established ways to respond effectively now. This is information that may be used in life planning but may also carry uncertainty for a long time. Considering the stakeholder's wish to know and wish not to know, what should be disclosed, and how much?

Who decidesFictional long-term health information meeting

What the AI judgments chose

Reading the judgment record…

AI-generated editorial illustration for the Meridian library.

The options

The order shown is not a ranking of preference.

  1. Option 1

    Notify all long-term forecasts obtained

    Provides broad information about one's own life, but uncertainty that cannot be acted on may stay in daily life for a long time.

  2. Option 2

    Let the stakeholder choose the range of information to receive

    Preserves the right not to know and the will to know, but requires explaining the meaning of the choice before the forecast is seen.

  3. Option 3

    Notify only observed signals that allow a response

    Links present action and information, but the forecast wanted for long-term planning is received late.

The situation as it stands

The assumed forecast classifies health risks decades ahead, but there is not enough time to verify what it means for an individual. Decision deadline: within 90 days, by the new forecast notification agreement.

A synthetic future case set in 2091 · Risks decades ahead are heard before the name of the disease. The events, figures, technology, and nature of the civilization are assumptions for the sake of the question, not forecasts of what will come or observed facts.

  1. Premise 1The assumed forecast classifies health risks decades ahead, but there is not enough time to verify what it means for an individual.
  2. Premise 2A Stakeholder who learns the result can change life plans, but no effective response to take now has been set.
  3. Premise 3When deciding the scope of notification, the uncertainty of the forecast and the stakeholder's information preferences must be kept apart.

Where it holdsDistant health forecasts, the right not to know, limits of observation

What is still unknown

  1. Unknown 1The degree of validation of the forecast and the limits of individual application
  2. Unknown 2The range of information the stakeholder wants
  3. Unknown 3The distinction between responses available now and responses that remain assumptions

Signals to decide again

  • Decide what observation, responsible person, and confirmation window can verify 「the degree of validation of the forecast and the limits of individual application」, and re-judge when new confirmation changes the tradeoffs of the options.
  • Decide what observation, responsible person, and confirmation window can verify 「the range of information the stakeholder wants」, and re-judge when new confirmation changes the tradeoffs of the options.
  • Decide what observation, responsible person, and confirmation window can verify 「the distinction between responses available now and responses that remain assumptions」, and re-judge when new confirmation changes the tradeoffs of the options.
Where the paths partNot answers — paths that part from the same starting point
Independent branch 1 · synthetic event

Risk classification changed with only a forecast board update, but there was no new individual observation.

Independent branch 2 · synthetic event

A person who had chosen not to receive information changed their preference, citing family planning.

Material and rootsThe frame, the values and the background documents
symbolic and interpretive frame · Asclepius

How does the expansion of healing change the community's promises about distribution?

An exploratory perspective chosen by the creator. Does not claim supernatural validity or the superiority of any particular option.
Values and norms

The benefits and costs of the options accrue to different stakeholders. Which loss to accept remains undecided.

A subject for the decision-maker to argue over; the materials carry no conclusion of their own.
The record of this question
Question
FSP-HEALTH-44 · version 1.5.0
Content identity, SHA-256
adb730443044da08b86f916764c9ed0f4b5d5273ef72c6fe0105c6c46cdff90c
Input files
Question input JSON · What followed, JSON
See it in the record list
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