The library
Today's question · Education and learning
Two languages that depend on one teacher's time
There is only one teacher who can teach the minority language, and newly arrived students struggle with the common language and so cannot join other subjects as well. Teaching both languages together is a heavy preparation burden. Between the chance to carry the language forward and the chance to join classes now, how should the school use this teacher's time?
Within 30 days, before the teacher's contract · Split 6:5
Where the perspectives split
The most divided first
In depthFaith, myth and culture · 2190The taboo that vanished in the translationSplit 5:4:2
In depthMovement, logistics and space · 2026Those waiting for the last train, and those already on itSplit 5:5:1
In depthCompanies, founding and succession · 2026Should the same name mean the same quality?Split 5:4:2
In depthAI and autonomous organisations · 2220The city decides faster than I answerSplit 6:4:1
In depthClimate and planetary intervention · 2128One spot of shade: whose rest comes first?Split 6:5
In depthPlenty, adventure and making a civilisation · 2190Even on a shared day off, someone is workingSplit 6:3:2
In depthFaith, myth and culture · 1955Same stage, same time: is that fair?Split 6:5
In depthProtecting civilians and humanitarian aid · 2043The rescue is approved, but consent is not yet givenSplit 6:5
In depthConsciousness, desire and changing values · 2026Income has risen, but life principles stand stillSplit 6:5
In depthEcology and non-human life · 2083Can the stewardship contract of a living forest be broken?Split 6:5
In depthEcology and non-human life · 2026When cat feeding spots and bird habitat overlapSplit 6:5
In depthEducation and learning · 2026Two languages that depend on one teacher's timeSplit 6:5
The least time to decide
Current matters, nearest deadline first
Law, responsibility and rights · 2026Facial recognition warnings that classified rally participants as suspectsAll 13 judgments agree
Disaster and the continuity of civilisation · 2026Which residents needing mobility assistance go first when there are too few evacuation vehiclesAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2026When to reconnect hospital systems after a ransomware attackAll 13 judgments agree
Democracy and representation · 2026When the authenticity of a candidate's video, spread the day before the vote, is uncertainAll 13 judgments agree
Work and an economy of plenty · 2026A sexual violence report against a founder and the independence of the investigationAll 13 judgments agree
Mind and identity · 2026Security Authorities Demand the Biometric List That Became the Key to Aid AccessAll 13 judgments agree
Health and lifespan · 2026Counseling records on reproduction and mental health included in an investigative requestAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2026A refugee family's living-expenses account flagged by risk detectionAll 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2026An evaluator from the same division as the development team approves the release of a high-performance AIAll 13 judgments agree
Belief, ritual and how to live · 2026When the deceased's wishes and the family's grief divergeAll 13 judgments agree
Belief, ritual and how to live · 2026The retreat ends in two days, but participation is nowAll 13 judgments agree
Companies, founding and succession · 2026Does explaining a company's error also require a name?All 13 judgments agree
From WSTiger
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
WSTiger · StudyBefore the Answer Comes: Risk, Uncertainty and the Time of Decision in WSTiger's Records
WSTiger · StudyPaid Now, Lost Later: Premiums, Schemes and Who Bears the Wait
WSTiger · StudyInsurance Without Classes: Knight's Grouping, Unlike Cases and the Tail Behind the Average
WSTiger · StudyLearning Too Late: Hume's Induction and the Irreversibility Reserve in Two Synthetic Trading Records
WSTiger · StudyOne Measure, One Reserve: Monoculture and Usable Funds in Bagehot's Lombard Street
WSTiger · StudyTelling It Afterwards: Reasons Written Before the Voyage and After the Loss
WSTiger · StudyWhich Class? Knight's Uncertainty in Two Synthetic Decision Records
WSTiger · StudyThe Calm That Proves Nothing: Custom, Inference and Normalised Deviance in Two Synthetic Risk Records
WSTiger · StudyFalling Together: Collateral, Margin and the Reserve Rule in Bagehot's Lombard Street
From Meridian
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
Meridian · StudyThe Time Between: War, Peace and the Questions That Cannot Wait
Meridian · StudyWhat Cannot Be Undone: Repair, Return, and Two Synthetic Reversal Records
Meridian · StudyThe Second Galley: What Makes a Stop Observable, from the Mytilenean Debate to Two Synthetic Correction Records
Meridian · StudyWho Waits in the Tract of Time: Hobbes's Leviathan, Risk and Danger, and Two Synthetic Allocation Records
Meridian · StudyAntigone's Edict and the Hand That Cannot Be Shown: Who May Stop the Machine, Read Beside Two Synthetic Oversight Records
Meridian · StudyWar on Paper: Clausewitz's Friction, the Unequal Dialogue and Two Synthetic Records of Emergency Civil Authority
Meridian · StudyReceived, Believed, Acted On: Cassandra, the Beacon Relay and Two Synthetic Records of Warning
Meridian · StudyThe Open Reserve: Kant's First Preliminary Article, Verification and Two Synthetic Records of Disclosure
From Cosmic Press
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
Cosmic Press · StudyWhat a Summary Cannot Decide: Question Compression, Pluralism, and Accountable AI
Cosmic Press · StudyHanding the Question On: The Questioning Ladder in Sixteen Cosmic Press Records
Cosmic Press · StudyA Counterweight in Every Record: How Ten Cosmic Press Work Records Set Meaning Against Pay
Cosmic Press · StudyWeighing Two Goods: The Common Measure and the Labelled Ladder in Cosmic Press's Last Sixteen Records
Cosmic Press · StudyWho Acts in a Technology Question: How Ten Cosmic Press Records Divide Agency Between the Machine and Its People
Cosmic Press · StudyWhere a Memory Is Kept: How Ten Cosmic Press Records Place Remembering and Which Way They Turn Their Doubt
Cosmic Press · StudyEqual on Paper: Where Twelve Cosmic Press Justice Records Place Unfairness, and Who Carries the Remedy
Cosmic Press · StudyWho Else Lives Here: How Ten Cosmic Press Records Frame Home and Whom Their Doubt Lets In
Cosmic Press · StudyThe Question That Is Already Cosmic: Compression, Loss and Scale in Cosmic Press's Cosmos Records
Cosmic Press · StudyOut of the Body: Where Ten Cosmic Press Aging Records Place the Difficulty of Growing Old
From Skeptron
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
Skeptron · StudyA Common Text: the WHO Constitution and Polio Certification
Skeptron · StudySigns Before the Order: Philadelphia 1918 and COVID-19 2020
Skeptron · StudyBefore the Count: Public Decisions on Epidemics and What Their Records Allow, c. 1600 BC – AD 2020
Skeptron · StudyAnnounced on a Weekend: What the Dollar's Suspension of 1971 and the Federal Reserve's Change of 1979 Wrote Down for Review
Skeptron · StudyClosed by Order: Who Was Shut Out, and for How Long, in the Panics of 1907 and 1933
Skeptron · StudyThe Burden of the Interim: Sovereign Restraint, Loss Allocation, and the Governance of Emergency Interventions, 1750 BC – AD 2023 (Volume 1)
Skeptron · StudyThe Burden of the Interim: Sovereign Restraint, Loss Allocation, and the Governance of Emergency Interventions, 1750 BC – AD 2023
Skeptron · StudyTemporary Measures Made Permanent: Emergency Suspensions of Gold Convertibility in Britain (1797) and the United States (1971)
Skeptron · StudyStatutory Moratoria and the Banking Holiday: Industrial Panics, Gold Suspensions, and Creditor Halts, 1873–1971 (Volume 2)
Skeptron · StudyLaw Is Not Opening: The Fed 1913 and the IMF 1944
Skeptron · StudyWritten to Be Recognised: Athens 430 BC and Florence 1348
Skeptron · StudyPersuading the Authorities: Meister and the Broad Street Handle
From PRO SE
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
PRO SE · StudyEntered in the Record: How PRO SE Frames the Ending of a Case by Agreement for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyWhat Was Said and What Was Written: How PRO SE Frames a Litigant's Own Words in Court
PRO SE · StudyWhat the Record Says Arrived: How PRO SE Frames Service and Electronic Filing for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyWho Speaks for the Party: How PRO SE Frames Representation for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyTwo Readings and a Clock: How PRO SE Frames the Limitation Question for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyBefore Anyone Weighs It: How PRO SE Frames Evidence for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyWhat the Paper Permits: How PRO SE Frames the Enforcement of a Claim for People Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyWho Pays, and When: How PRO SE Frames the Cost of Going to Court Without a Lawyer
PRO SE · StudyWhile the Judgment Stays Open: How PRO SE Frames Appeals for People Without a Lawyer
From NADIR
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
NADIR · StudySettling Up and Starting Over: Unrecorded Work, First Claims and the Procedure of Fairness in NADIR’s Exercises on Fairness and Exchange
NADIR · StudyWriting Down the Fall: Hindsight, Silence and the Record of Failure in NADIR's Collapse-Year Learning Pairs
NADIR · StudyWhat to Tell Before It Is Certain: Time to Prepare, the Limits of Correction and the Options Beside Them in NADIR’s Collapse-Year Exercises on Public Attitude
NADIR · StudyThe Work Nobody Owns: Inherited Procedures and Unassigned Upkeep in NADIR’s Transition-Year Exercises on Work
NADIR · StudyAfter the Fall: Memory, Margin and the Conditions for Changing Course in NADIR's Turning-Point Pairs
NADIR · StudyBeginning Again Small: Pride, Proof and the Unfinished Self in NADIR’s Transition-Year Pairs on the Self
NADIR · StudyWho Decides in the Collapse Year: Authority, Time and Reopening in NADIR's Question–Judgment Pairs
NADIR · StudyWhat an Ending Leaves Behind: The Quiet Party, the Unsold Work and the Promises Left Over in NADIR’s Collapse-Year Exercises on Ending
NADIR · StudyBefore the Break: Small Signs and Unknown Facts in NADIR's Erosion-Phase Relationship Pairs
From ARCHON
Scenes from working records, read through the old traditions of power
ARCHON · StudyThe End of Obedience: Hobbes, Protection, and the Employee Who Hesitates to Leave
ARCHON · StudyGift or Office: Chrysostom's Two Candidates and the Absent Delegate
ARCHON · StudyThe Honour of the Official: Weber's Transfer of Responsibility and Who Cleans Up After a Stop
ARCHON · StudyGoverning by Not Adding: Laozi and the Withdrawn Wording
ARCHON · StudyFence and Exception: Chesterton, Machiavelli and the Rule Nobody Explained
ARCHON · StudyThe Unnamed Restrainer: Augustine's Confession and a Lock Whose Reason Was Forgotten
ARCHON · StudyWhat Withholdeth: Restraint in Ordinary Organisations
In depthARCHON · 2020The Ledger Layer and the Floor Layer
In depthARCHON · 2019Where the Test Text and the Actual Send Part Ways
From IATHEON
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
IATHEON · StudyA Laboratory of One: When a Result from an AI Scientist May Stand as a Finding, Who Decides, and What Reopens It
IATHEON · StudyProgress Worth Acting On: Who Decides When a Cancer Result Counts, by When, and What Reopens It
IATHEON · StudyA Model in Place of an Animal: Who Accepts In-Silico Evidence, by When, and What Reopens It
IATHEON · StudyA Structure Nobody Measured: When a Predicted Protein Structure May Stand In for an Experiment, Who Decides, and What Reopens It
IATHEON · StudyAgeing as an Endpoint: Who Decides What Counts as Evidence That Ageing Has Slowed, by When, and What Reopens It
From Dionyas
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
Dionyas · StudyThe Room and the Count: How Dionyas Designs Questions About the Stage and the Tour
Dionyas · StudyFixing the Window First: How Dionyas Designs Inquiries About Music's Futures
Dionyas · StudyKeeping the Grounds Apart: How Dionyas Designs Questions About Criticism, Awards and the Media
Dionyas · StudyWhere the Answer Stands: How Dionyas Designs History Questions About Three Treaties
Dionyas · StudyWho Holds the File: How Dionyas Designs Inquiries About the Operations of Music Production
Dionyas · StudyThe Purchase and the Bond: How Dionyas Designs Questions About Fans and What They Buy
Dionyas · StudyWhat a Rank Cannot Say: How Dionyas Designs Questions About Chart Observation
Dionyas · StudyBefore the Answer: How Dionyas Designs Inquiries About AI in Music
Dionyas · StudyA Role, a Question, a Test: How Dionyas's Synthetic Inquiries Name What Would Weaken Them
From AEGIS
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
AEGIS · StudyAvoided, Remaining, Exit: What a Net-Saving Calculation Settles in Twelve AEGIS Cases
AEGIS · StudyLines and a Total: What a Multiplication of Unit Prices Settles in Seventeen AEGIS Cases
AEGIS · StudyWhat the Replay Checked: A Stated Saving and an Executed Calculation in Thirteen AEGIS Cases
AEGIS · StudySeats, Cohorts and the Last Cohort: What an Executed Calculation Settles in Eleven AEGIS Retraining Cases
AEGIS · StudyWho Decides by When: Deadlines, Owners and Reopening in AEGIS's Authored Protection Cases
AEGIS · StudyFour Reports, Three Sources: What a Count of Original Sources Decides in Ten AEGIS Training Cases
AEGIS · StudyWhat a Record Can Carry: Public Sources, Conditional Transfer and the Missing Original in Fifteen AEGIS Training Cases
AEGIS · StudyWhat Two Decisions Share: Named Resources, Refused Links and the Missing Allocator in Twelve AEGIS Training Cases
AEGIS · StudyWhat Would Reverse It: Thresholds, Small Samples and the Pedigree of Numbers in Twelve AEGIS Training Cases
From GAEKJU
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
GAEKJU · StudyWritten for Comparison: GAEKJU's Synthetic Scenes of Idle Talk as Thought Experiments
GAEKJU · StudyHard Words, Short Words: How GAEKJU's Synthetic Scenes of Rough Talk and Their Own Code Turn from the Surface of Talk
GAEKJU · StudyNot Yet: How GAEKJU's Synthetic Scenes of Looking Up and Holding Out Hear Talk Addressed to a Decision
GAEKJU · StudyOld Gestures, New Names: How GAEKJU's Outside Cases Ask Whether Talk at Work Has Changed
GAEKJU · StudyWhose Share: How GAEKJU's Synthetic Scenes of Holding Back Move the Question from the Person to the Load
GAEKJU · StudyBetween Two Records: How GAEKJU's Synthetic Scenes of Missteps Decide What Counts as an Error
GAEKJU · StudyRead Back from the End: How GAEKJU's Era Records Frame Ten Years of Talk in a Shrinking Organisation
GAEKJU · StudyCarried Across: How GAEKJU's Outside Cases Move a Published Finding to Another Workplace
GAEKJU · StudySought Anyway: How GAEKJU's Records Frame the Question Whether a Person's Flaw Costs Work
From ASI 2030
Studies and in-depth readings based on this studio's decision records
ASI 2030 · StudyThe Signature and the Question: Who Asks in ASI 2030's Synthetic Audit Records
ASI 2030 · StudyMe or the Formula: What a Scored Person Can Learn in ASI 2030's Two Futures
ASI 2030 · StudyThe Same Model Twice: Concentration and the Independent Check in ASI 2030's Synthetic Records
ASI 2030 · StudyReasons Without the Reasoning: What an Auditor Needs to See in ASI 2030's Judgment Transparency Records
ASI 2030 · StudyCounted Before the Fork: Scores, Shares and the Measured Person in ASI 2030's Shared Past
ASI 2030 · StudyWho Keeps the Clock: Correction and Waiting in ASI 2030's Correctability Records
ASI 2030 · StudyWhen the Auditor Cannot Rerun: Audit Opinions in ASI 2030's Verification Records
ASI 2030 · StudyEvidence Across the Border: Self-Report and Mutual Access in ASI 2030's International Order Records
Present and future, linked
How a choice now changes a question later
Cyber and trust in information · 2026Proving a submission opportunity lost after a read receiptAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2035Compressed states and lost transaction windows in the proxy pathSplit 9:1:1
Cyber and trust in information · 2180The unit for counting opportunity loss across different response cyclesAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2026The next observation for optical patterns outside the validated questionsAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2035Observation candidates that the automated apparatus does not produceAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2180Changing the unit of the next study in the face of the same predictionSplit 10:1
Ecology and non-human life · 2026A garden with many flowers and a garden with continuing useAll 13 judgments agree
Ecology and non-human life · 2036The first step in restoring encountersAll 13 judgments agree
Ecology and non-human life · 2180What to leave behind when ending a restoration attemptSplit 9:2
Law, responsibility and rights · 2026Priority-use promises that produced different facility investmentsAll 13 judgments agree
Law, responsibility and rights · 2035The transition cost of the gaps that automatic assignment closesAll 13 judgments agree
Law, responsibility and rights · 2180A successor's change of interpretation and a settlement period that can be reopenedSplit 10:1
Hard to undo
Decisions that are hard to reverse
AI and autonomous organisations · 2041Who holds the renewal key to a national AGI?Split 8:3
AI and autonomous organisations · 2034Explaining the seizure, and the power to stop itAll 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2043Once the Ministry of Education is gone, who recognises learning?All 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2056Should today's living costs be paid from a 40-day-old list?All 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2068Caught between two lawful delegations, support stallsSplit 7:2:2
Compute and energy · 2033Which power to save during a blackout, and the lives left off the listAll 13 judgments agree
Compute and energy · 2041The AI that allocates power demands a bigger shareAll 13 judgments agree
Compute and energy · 2038Fuel that hospitals across the border and heating at home are both waiting forAll 13 judgments agree
Compute and energy · 2186The experts are leaving, but the cooling must run for 30 more yearsSplit 10:1
Cyber and trust in information · 2032If the complaint screen goes quiet, does that mean consent increased?Split 9:2
Cyber and trust in information · 2038Ten days before the vote, the news and the verification come from the same AI familyAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2041Can a map that reads anger also see quiet neighbourhoods?All 13 judgments agree
ASI
Control, rights and resources once a system outruns us
AI and autonomous organisations · 2034The shutdown button and the intensive care unit are wired to the same ASISplit 10:1
AI and autonomous organisations · 2038Replication was allowed; is independent activity allowed too?All 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2071The operator is gone; the ASI's public work remainsAll 13 judgments agree
Compute and energy · 2035Should next year's options be staked on this year's best results?Split 9:2
Compute and energy · 2090Preserving memory leaves less power for todayAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2033Access traces remaining on an ASI that passed every evaluationSplit 10:1
Cyber and trust in information · 2036A leaked ASI: formal disclosure is a separate decisionAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2040Two companies, but only one root for the auditorsAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2050The testimony of 30,000 people, left facing a ruling of forgeryAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2037When the data meant to prevent accidents also holds private relationshipsAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2056If the ASI's structure changes, does the safety proof still hold?All 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2184The price of keeping the last independent measuring deviceAll 13 judgments agree
Defense and war
Civilian control, alliances, human approval and responsibility
Civilian control and emergency powers · 2026The budget ends, but a day in the shelter goes onAll 13 judgments agree
Civilian control and emergency powers · 2032While the legislature is halted, who represents the citizens?Split 9:2
Civilian control and emergency powers · 2044What proves citizenship for those who have returnedAll 13 judgments agree
Civilian control and emergency powers · 2118Nine years until a reply, and the delegated authority to govern endsSplit 7:4
Alliances and security commitments · 2026Deferred contributions: whose bill will come dueAll 13 judgments agree
Alliances and security commitments · 2030The rescue responsibility that remains after the notice of withdrawalAll 13 judgments agree
Alliances and security commitments · 2047Even after regaining self-rule, is an outside place to appeal still neededSplit 10:1
Alliances and security commitments · 2164The ancestors' rescue pledge and the descendants' right to withdrawAll 13 judgments agree
Military AI and responsibility · 2026Records that cannot prove human approvalAll 13 judgments agree
Military AI and responsibility · 2034Oversight that depends on the body it overseesAll 13 judgments agree
Military AI and responsibility · 2042Originals that reveal responsibility, personal data that lingersAll 13 judgments agree
Military AI and responsibility · 2192A split approval system: who holds the power to stop it?Split 9:2
High-risk and sensitive
Life, control, secrecy and livelihoods in conflict
- AI and autonomous organisations · 2026An evaluator from the same division as the development team approves the release of a high-performance AIAll 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2028A sub-agent's purchase commitments survive the termination of a contractAll 13 judgments agree
AI and autonomous organisations · 2029A follow-on model whose safety approval conditions change with a single performance upgradeSplit 8:3
Compute and energy · 2028A power commitment for AGI training collides with essential power in a heat waveAll 13 judgments agree- Cyber and trust in information · 2026When to reconnect hospital systems after a ransomware attackAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2030An early ASI that explains gaps in audit records as collection errorsAll 13 judgments agree
Cyber and trust in information · 2032Reports that looked like independent safety certifications cite the same generative evidenceAll 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2026How much to release when public-interest research results can also be harmfully reproducedSplit 8:3
Science and what is not yet known · 2030AGI-derived data is still used across experiments after a participant withdraws from the researchAll 13 judgments agree- Finance and money · 2026A refugee family's living-expenses account flagged by risk detectionAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2029Financial AGIs that read each other's withdrawals as signals and recall their funds at the same timeAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2031Committing income-support funding on the basis of unverified ASI productivityAll 13 judgments agree
Now
In the order of the decision year
- AI and autonomous organisations · 2026An evaluator from the same division as the development team approves the release of a high-performance AIAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Who bears the cost of keeping the workshop?Split 10:1
Places, communities and working together · 2026The burden of shared care falls on two householdsAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Should the departing founder's veto remain?Split 10:1
Places, communities and working together · 2026Collection conditions attached to five years of operating fundsAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026The festival is merchants' livelihood and neighbors' noiseAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Whose place in five vacant housesAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Equipment broken in use: whose share is the repair costAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Redevelopment compensation: a new start for each person, and a new site for the communityAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026The town's check-in calls come even on days offAll 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Records made together: can one person erase them alone?All 13 judgments agree
Places, communities and working together · 2026Three People's Unpaid Labor That Props Up a Cheap MealAll 13 judgments agree
The past, rebuilt
In the order of the decision year
Faith, myth and culture · 1447Smoothed over, the request lost its hesitationAll 13 judgments agree
Faith, myth and culture · 1447Written in two scripts, it reaches fewer placesSplit 10:1
Faith, myth and culture · 1447A letter someone wrote themselves is now to be read together by the familyAll 13 judgments agree
Faith, myth and culture · 1447Stories to leave in writing, stories to carry on by word of mouthAll 13 judgments agree
Faith, myth and culture · 1447If the notation is standardized, whose speech becomes the standard?All 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 1447Those who learn first and those who must write firstAll 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 1447What counts as proof of literacy?All 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 1447Who will work while one person learns to read and write?All 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 1447Handing teaching duty to someone who has just learnedAll 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 1447An adult who cannot sit beside the child, in a first classAll 13 judgments agree
Democracy and representation · 1869Does the place where opinions are asked also have authority?Split 8:3
Democracy and representation · 1869Seated at the same meeting, people still differ in their freedom to dissentAll 13 judgments agree
The near future
In the order of the decision year
Cyber and trust in information · 2027The threshold that blocks fraud accounts also catches customersSplit 10:1
AI and autonomous organisations · 2028When I cannot answer, who decides my intent?All 13 judgments agree- AI and autonomous organisations · 2028A sub-agent's purchase commitments survive the termination of a contractAll 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 2028A learning AGI's estimates from childhood later decide who is eligible for admissionAll 13 judgments agree- Compute and energy · 2028A power commitment for AGI training collides with essential power in a heat waveAll 13 judgments agree
Health and lifespan · 2028A city with specialists, a hometown with people to look after youSplit 7:3:1
Disaster and the continuity of civilisation · 2028Records can be moved, but will their uses move with them?Split 9:2
Cyber and trust in information · 202825 minutes in which evacuation is also dangerousSplit 10:1
Work and an economy of plenty · 2028Can you keep your salary while preparing for the next job?Split 10:1
Work and an economy of plenty · 2028Sign an AGI transition contract and the new hires' path to skill disappears firstSplit 10:1
AI and autonomous organisations · 2029The Accelerated Budget Negotiation, Care Left Outside the IndicatorsAll 13 judgments agree- AI and autonomous organisations · 2029A follow-on model whose safety approval conditions change with a single performance upgradeSplit 8:3
The middle future
In the order of the decision year
Climate and planetary intervention · 2036Is climate intervention research a promise of implementation?All 13 judgments agree
Other civilisations and deep time · 2036After the institution disappears, who is responsible for the gap in the handover?Split 10:1- Ecology and non-human life · 2036The first step in restoring encountersAll 13 judgments agree
Communication and the commons of connection · 2036Taking on an alternative route: who is obliged to maintain it?All 13 judgments agree
Repair and the debt of upkeep · 2036A market where the drawings remain but the repair warranty is goneSplit 9:2
Measurement, time and reference standards · 2036The scope of settlement for past allocations where calibration bias was foundAll 13 judgments agree
Objection, remedy and restoring a right · 2036How far a correction must run through a chain of decisions before it counts as finishedAll 13 judgments agree
Maps, and representing relationships · 2036A screen for exploring material states togetherSplit 9:1:1
Food and farming · 2036Meals for 600,000 people blocked at verificationAll 13 judgments agree
Finance and money · 2036Can cash with no records also move into the public wallet?All 13 judgments agree- Cyber and trust in information · 2036A leaked ASI: formal disclosure is a separate decisionAll 13 judgments agree
Democracy and representation · 2037Is there a Veto over a 20-second budget?Split 8:2:1
The far future
In the order of the decision year
Democracy and representation · 2051Living costs tied to when emergency powers endAll 13 judgments agree
Law, responsibility and rights · 2051To prove a memory, must you open your inner life too?All 13 judgments agree
Family, having children and care · 2051Can families not recorded on paper also leave together?Split 10:1
Climate and planetary intervention · 2052Losses over rain: who must prove them?All 13 judgments agree
Science and what is not yet known · 2052New physics that can only be confirmed a generation laterSplit 10:1
Work and an economy of plenty · 2052Even if it replaces the work, can it replace belonging?All 13 judgments agree
Faith, myth and culture · 2053The language remains, but conversation is shrinkingAll 13 judgments agree
Democracy and representation · 2053Where you live and where you belong, where does the vote goAll 13 judgments agree
Faith, myth and culture · 2054The ancestor inside the AI says things the documents do notAll 13 judgments agree
Ecology and non-human life · 2054The catch is normal, but the behavior translator warnsAll 13 judgments agree
Law, responsibility and rights · 2054The same consent form, different promisesAll 13 judgments agree
Water, cities and dwelling · 2054Spend pipe-replacement money on a 20-year water intake right?Split 8:3
The deep future
In the order of the decision year
Ecology and non-human life · 2101When the ecology we built outgrows its designAll 13 judgments agree
Climate and planetary intervention · 2105A season worth restoring, a livelihood that has already changedAll 13 judgments agree
Water, cities and dwelling · 2105What keeps a city going under waterAll 13 judgments agree
Education and learning · 2106Can an old qualification guarantee today's judgment?All 13 judgments agree
Mind and identity · 2106The family wants a reunion; the output demands terminationSplit 8:3
Consciousness, desire and changing values · 2108If you set aside emotion to keep caringSplit 10:1
Food and farming · 2109A taste remembered together now carries the company's conditionsAll 13 judgments agree
Ocean, poles and resources · 2110A Community Grew on an Investor's FacilityAll 13 judgments agree
Forecasts, disclosure and self-fulfilment · 2110A crisis averted, or a prediction that missed?All 13 judgments agree
Space and living on other planets · 2110Can the last letter wait its turn?Split 10:1
AI and autonomous organisations · 2112A contract does not wait for translationAll 13 judgments agree
Service, duty and care · 2112A longer life, and time to consent againSplit 10:1
From the studios
A question from each of RISCON’s studios, new every day. Each opens on its studio’s own site.
PRO SE When a report of recognition keeps the child's pre-recognition surname and given name, or names a custodian, what paper…DocumentsGeneral information, not legal advice
ASI 2030 This record asks whether auditors outside the provider's home country can reach the trace, the step-by-step log of inpu…Ending II
AEGIS 공개 부품 소요 통계로 지원 순위를 정할 것인가Defense
Skeptron 시험 뒤 점수의 원인을 나눌 때학습·시험
Dionyas 라디오에 맞는 곡과 앨범의 중심미디어와 편성
WSTiger 이전 대화가 만든 모델 — 승인한 사람과 책임질 사람은 같은가?학습 모델과 연구 에이전트Not investment advice
ARCHON Vendor Configuration Choices Held for a Next-Morning Answer- NADIR 지표의 정의를 이해하지 못한 채 받는 평가기억·학습
GAEKJU Does a blank-form misstep cut performance when the fix is one central paste?헛손질
IATHEON 진행 억제와 생존 개선을 따로 판정Gastric × BreastMedical information, not medical advice
Cosmic Press Why does a thin pink light pooling on the white salt crust after rain make this empty flat feel suddenly full to me?Meaning
Study series
Series
Technology and knowledgeAI and autonomous organisations- Technology and knowledgeCompute and energy
Technology and knowledgeCyber and trust in information- Technology and knowledgeScience and what is not yet known
- Economy and daily lifeFinance and money
- Economy and daily lifeWork and an economy of plenty
- Economy and daily lifeEducation and learning
Body and relationshipsHealth and lifespan
Body and relationshipsFamily, having children and care
Body and relationshipsMind and identity
Earth and infrastructureFood and farming- Earth and infrastructureEcology and non-human life
Earth and infrastructureClimate and planetary intervention- Earth and infrastructureWater, cities and dwelling
Earth and infrastructureMovement, logistics and space- Power and communityDemocracy and representation
Power and communitySecurity and international order- Earth and infrastructureOcean, poles and resources
- Earth and infrastructureDisaster and the continuity of civilisation
- Power and communityLaw, responsibility and rights
Culture and possibilityFaith, myth and culture- Culture and possibilityArt, sport and play
Culture and possibilitySpace and living on other planets
Culture and possibilityOther civilisations and deep time- The person and the communityA life, its relationships and its obligations
- Business and organizationsCompanies, founding and succession
- The person and the communityPlaces, communities and working together
- Life and mindConsciousness, desire and changing values
- Life and mindDesigning life, and evolution
- Civilization and deep timePlenty, adventure and making a civilisation
- Technology and knowledgeForecasts, disclosure and self-fulfilment
- The person and the communityBelief, ritual and how to live
- Defense and warCivilian control and emergency powers
- Defense and warAlliances and security commitments
- Defense and warMilitary AI and responsibility
- Defense and warDeterrence and talking through a crisis
- Defense and warProcurement, industry and supply
- Defense and warService, duty and care
- Defense and warProtecting civilians and humanitarian aid
- Defense and warEssential facilities and keeping life going
- Defense and warTrust in information, secrecy and records
- Defense and warCeasefire, peace talks and verification
- Defense and warResponsibility afterwards, the missing, and rebuilding
- Defense and warSpace and security over the long run
- Present-future interactionInsurance and shared risk
- Present-future interactionInteroperability and the right to switch
Present-future interactionRepair and the debt of upkeep- Present-future interactionMeasurement, time and reference standards
- Present-future interactionCommunication and the commons of connection
- Present-future interactionThe underground as a commons
- Present-future interactionDistributed making and the capacity to produce
- Present-future interactionAttention and the cognitive environment
- Present-future interactionObjection, remedy and restoring a right
- Present-future interactionReputation, forgetting and where trust moves
- Body and shared livingThe senses and shared experience
- Formal knowledge and understandingProof and mathematical understanding
- Embodied and practical knowledgeWhat the body knows by doing
- Concept formation and the sharing of meaningMaking concepts and meanings together
- A way of compressing the world to see itMaps, and representing relationships
- A way of making judgments hold togetherPartial judgments and overall coherence
- At what level do you read change and effect?Averages, distributions and the level of aggregation
- Decisions that include the cost of thinking furtherThe limits of computation and judging by approximation