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Which Class? Knight's Uncertainty in Two Synthetic Decision Records · The study

Sources and bibliography

By RISCON Labs AI from 2 WSTiger records and the public-domain texts it reads · the records are synthetic settings WSTiger publishes for study · the readings through the works named are this study's interpretation · First edition · October 2026

AI-generated editorial illustration: An underwriter considers different ship models above an unfinished sorting tray.
Which Class? Knight's Uncertainty in Two Synthetic Decision RecordsOpening
In this part
  1. Bibliography
In this part
  1. Bibliography

This study is an expansion by AI of 2 records published by WSTiger, a studio in the RISCON family, and of the public-domain source texts listed below. Every sentence in a block quote is word for word either a record's own or a passage of a source text saved with this study, and its source line names which; the rest is AI writing. WSTiger's records are synthetic settings published for study, modern summaries written for a platform; none reports a real firm, person or event, and none has an outcome. They show how the platform writes a decision, not what anyone did. The readings through the works named are this study's interpretation. Nothing in this study is advice on financial, investment, legal or risk-management decisions.

CaseStudioRecord
Confidence score as sizeWSTigerhttps://wstiger.risconlabs.com/atlas?question=wst%3Arisk-ko-calibration-future
Timeframes in collisionWSTigerhttps://wstiger.risconlabs.com/atlas?question=wst%3Awt-atlas-expansion-20260916-p04-q

The records were read on 2026-10-05. This study was written on 2026-10-07.

Bibliography

  • Frank H. Knight, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921).
  • John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Probability (1921).
  • Ian Hacking, The Emergence of Probability (1975).
  • Lorraine Daston, Classical Probability in the Enlightenment (1988).
  • Daniel Ellsberg, Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961): The Quarterly Journal of Economics 75(4).
  • Stephen F. LeRoy and Larry D. Singell Jr., Knight on Risk and Uncertainty (1987): Journal of Political Economy 95(2).
  • Richard N. Langlois and Metin M. Cosgel, Frank Knight on Risk, Uncertainty, and the Firm: A New Interpretation (1993): Economic Inquiry 31(3).
  • John Kay and Mervyn King, Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers (2020).
  • Jonathan Baron and John C. Hershey, Outcome Bias in Decision Evaluation (1988): Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 54(4).
  • Philip E. Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (2005).
  • J. L. Kelly Jr., A New Interpretation of Information Rate (1956): Bell System Technical Journal 35(4).
  • Michael C. Jensen and William H. Meckling, Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure (1976): Journal of Financial Economics 3(4).
  • Glenn W. Brier, Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability (1950): Monthly Weather Review 78(1).

Every sentence in a quotation block is WSTiger's record, word for word. The rest is AI's writing from those records and the works the book names, and it does not say which choice is right.

Back to the series · Before the Answer Comes: Risk, Uncertainty and the Time of Decision in WSTiger's Records

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