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The screen, the questions and the judgments read in English where an English reading has been made. The Korean originals are unchanged, and evidence stays in the language it was written in.

Water is shared, but each crop is its own livelihood

2026NowDeadline · Within 30 days until the sowing contract

Realistic synthesis

The people, events, figures, and contract terms are a synthetic premise. They are not statements of real cases or of current law. The source documents are the roots of the background and the norms and do not establish the premises of the scenario.

The question to decide

Reservoir levels are expected to be below the annual average, but seasonal rainfall remains uncertain. Substitute crops that use less water do not fit farm equipment and sales networks, and even reducing water to existing crops produces losses that differ by farm household. Should the whole cooperative switch crops, leave the choice to each household, or keep existing crops while restricting water?

Who decidesFictional agricultural water cooperative general meeting

What the AI judgments chose

Reading the judgment record…

AI-generated editorial illustration for the Meridian library.

The options

The order shown is not a ranking of preference.

  1. Option 1

    Switch crops across the whole cooperative

    Reduces the shared water burden, but creates transition costs for equipment, sales channels, and growing experience.

  2. Option 2

    Let each household choose whether to switch

    Reflects individual conditions, but divides the burden between households that keep using shared water and those that switch.

  3. Option 3

    Keep existing crops with water-use limits

    Carries forward accumulated livelihoods, but takes on lower harvests and disputes over water access between households.

The situation as it stands

The fictional reservoir outlook is below normal years, but seasonal rainfall is not yet determined. Deadline: within 30 days, before the sowing contracts.

2026 synthetic case · switching to crops that use less water before a drought. The people, organizations, figures, and events are fictional.

  1. Premise 1The fictional reservoir outlook is below normal years, but seasonal rainfall is not yet determined.
  2. Premise 2The alternative crops are assumed to use less water, but they do not fit the households' equipment and sales channels.
  3. Premise 3Keeping the existing crops means losses from the lower water supply differ from household to household.

Where it holdsThe cooperative's commitments on crops, water supply, and transition support

What is still unknown

  1. Unknown 1The gap between the confirmed water supply and the outlook
  2. Unknown 2Real demand to purchase alternative crops
  3. Unknown 3Conditions of households that cannot switch

Signals to decide again

  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation window can verify the "gap between the confirmed water supply and the outlook"; if the new confirmation changes the cost of the options, make a new judgment.
  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation window can verify the "real demand to purchase alternative crops"; if the new confirmation changes the cost of the options, make a new judgment.
  • Decide what observation, owner, and confirmation window can verify the "conditions of households that cannot switch"; if the new confirmation changes the cost of the options, make a new judgment.
Where the paths partNot answers — paths that part from the same starting point
Independent branch 1 · synthetic event

A buyer of alternative crops has proposed a long-term contract conditioned on a minimum volume.

Independent branch 2 · synthetic event

The seasonal outlook has improved, but the costs already incurred by households that switched are not recovered.

Material and rootsThe frame, the values and the background documents
symbolic and interpretive frame · The custom of saving seeds

How is today's harvest traded for next season's options?

An exploratory perspective chosen by the creator. Does not claim supernatural validity or the superiority of any particular option.
Values and norms

The benefits and costs of the options accrue to different stakeholders. Which loss to accept remains undecided.

A subject for the decision-maker to argue over; the materials carry no conclusion of their own.
The record of this question
Question
FSP-FOOD-10 · version 1.5.0
Content identity, SHA-256
f83851f65854fba22292529ebcda39cf7ed5a1b983afd05dec7016f24806653a
Input files
Question input JSON · What followed, JSON
See it in the record list
RISCON Labsrisconlabs.com